Bird Tales

Every year, the UCB gang gets together to solve all the world’s problems in one fell swoop. …well, sort of. This year, I kicked off the discussion with the only question I could think to ask: What to do with Kolten Wong?

If you weren’t part of the debate, here’s what you missed…

Hello, all

Seems strange to be kicking this off with the postseason still in very early stages, but …it happens to the best of ’em, right?
So, let’s jump right in.
It seems the list of ways to improve the team for the 2017 season is long – and a bit overwhelming! But in my mind, before John Mozeliak and Company go making major changes, they need to settle into plans and roles for a number of current players whose jobs this season didn’t always make sense – Randal Grichuk, Jedd Gyorko, Jhonny Peralta, and Kolten Wong…to name a few. (This is the part where I ask a very predictable question, considering my rousing support for this particular individual…)
In that light, what is the best course of action for Kolten Wong and the 2017 St. Louis Cardinals? He’s never really settled into the “second baseman of the future” job (likely because they won’t let him have it long enough to get used to the idea!). When he’s good, he’s VERY good, but when he’s bad…well, you watched it. Mo has already implied there will be an emphasis on athleticism, defense, and stability, which could play right into the hands of a gifted athlete like Wong. And yet, Gyorko is lurking, without a steady position to play himself.
So, does Kolten Wong remain with the Cardinals for 2017? And if so, how should the Cardinals define his role going forward?
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Great question, and one of my favorites all season — What in the world do we do with Kolten Wong, especially with the arrival and power of Jedd Gyorko? I think there’s room for both, now and in the future. In fact, the possible future role and destination for Wong could very well inform the 2017 plan for both him and Gyorko.
First off, Wong needs to get the Randal Grichuk treatment — second half Randal, not first half Randal. Stick the kid at second base and let him play everyday. Make the job his for 2017, a “make or break, do or don’t” year of sorts, as John Mozeliak is fond of saying. I think the team learned a lot about their own approach and what changes need to happen within that approach with their treatment of Grichuk in 2016. Up and down (AAA to MLB and back) doesn’t work for a player who has nothing more to learn in the minors and only lacks a firm footing in the majors. Sure, you can get Wong a mental break and a few consistent at-bats in a low-pressure environment, but if he never adjusts to the high-scrutiny atmosphere of a major-league job, what’s the point in holding onto him?
If Wong is going to be a future core player for this team, as the Cardinals have always envisioned and intended, he needs to be turned loose to play Wong-like baseball at his natural position. Tell him to focus on defense and let the offense find it’s groove along the way. And then stick to your word, so to speak, and leave him there, with that message, at least through mid to late August. He just needs reps and time, and at some point, he needs to be seen as one of the guys the club refuses to part with when things get rough. He can’t be the offensive scapegoat every year. There’s just too many ways he can contribute to this club.
Of course, Wong entrenched at second base leaves Gyorko again without a home. But that only needs to be temporary.
The Cardinals have already suggested Jedd is going to be the “man behind the scenes,” in a way, again in 2017. He’ll float around behind guys like Wong, Carpenter, Diaz, and Peralta. He’s the utility man that can play everywhere…but in Gyorko’s case, he should be eying third base. Peralta isn’t going to play every day. We’ve seen that before with him, and the break down of his body became predictable. He needs breaks, and unless the Cards sign a corner infielder over the offseason, St. Louis needs a third baseman with power after 2017. Gyorko may well be that guy.
Get Gyorko a ton of reps over the offseason and spring training at third, then turn him loose on a year-long audition for the full-time job post-Peralta. If he shows that 2016 power is likely to continue consistently, then you look to field an infield of Gyorko 3B, Diaz SS, Wong 2B, and Carpenter at 1B going forward. If he falters, however, then you make other plans, all the while sleeping soundlessly because you didn’t sacrifice Kolten Wong’s much-needed development and future at second base by splitting time on a player that may not be able to stick consistently (and you improve performance around the infield by stopping the position merry-go-round).
Because Gyorko, unlike Wong, is a one-trick pony. If he can’t hit for power every year, he won’t earn a long-time spot on the Cardinals’ roster. Wong, on the other hand, is a multi-tool, broad-impact player that’s worth investing in long-term.
Of course, the opposite could happen…Wong could sink and Gyorko could power his way to the top. In that case, 2018 needs to be the year Gyorko takes the job and Wong is moved to another team. And that makes it doubly important for the Cardinals to identify stability on the rest of the squad, effectively allowing them to let second base continue to be the only variable for much of the season.
Thanks,
Kevin Reynolds (@deckacards)
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This is why I wait for Kevin, because I’m pretty sure he’s going to cover the issue quite throughly!
I agree, especially in the light of Mozeliak’s comments about defense being a priority, the most logical thing is to let Wong play every day, which is why you signed him to a five-year deal in the first place.  Wong has been supplanted a lot already in his career, whether it was Mark Ellis or Jedd Gyorko, but it’s about time the Cards just put him out there and see what they have.
The offense is going to slip back next year, that is pretty much a guarantee, but Wong could offset some of that if he gets into a groove playing every day.  Of course, we also said the same thing about Tyler Greene and we see how that turned out.  Still, 2017 is the time to see if Wong really has what we think he has.  If not, then maybe you do something else in 2018, as Kevin mentioned.
Daniel Shoptaw
Author, C70 At The Bat  Twitter: @C70
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How appropriate that you should post this question on Kolten Wong’s 26th birthday. It’s a reminder that the time is now for him to show whether he is a productive big-leaguer or a bust.

I believe 2015 – when Wong produced 146 hits in 150 games with 28 doubles, 15 stolen bases and 61 RBI – is more indicative of his talent than was 2016.

So I see the Cardinals keeping him heading into spring training in 2017, but they will make him compete for the starting second base job. If he rises to the challenge and wins the job, they keep him. If he is erratic and cannot win the job outright, I see them trading him during spring training or early in the regular season.

I believe he will win the job in a highly competitive spring training test. I see him as the second baseman who fits into the 7th or 8th spot in the batting order.

Mark Tomasik
www.retrosimba.com

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Spring training will be paramount for Kolten.  As I have written, I believe the coaching staff in Memphis far out-shines the MLB staff.  That said, I feel that the coaching Kolten can receive in Spring will help him in 2017.  We watched him return from Memphis in 2016 and somewhat shine and I anticipate this will continue in 2017.

I do completely agree that he needs to play each and every day or not at all.  I also believe this will be forced since the focus this offseason will likely be on the outfield first.  In short, put Kolten there every single day and give him rest by using Gyorko.

Dr. Michael D. Miles
Redbird Rants

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Man, if you don’t get to these questions quickly, the bone is picked pretty clean. Let’s see if I can go one step further…

Kolten Wong needs to play everyday. More importantly, for me, is that Wong needs a defined role. Any time that Wong has struggled, it has eventually come out that he was approaching things incorrectly and trying to press himself. He came into Spring last year wanting to be a lead off hitter. When he started hitting after a long struggle, he revealed that he had been trying to prove that he was a fit as a lead off hitter and not approaching at bats for the position he was in.

I think it is important for the team to tell Wong he is the everyday second baseman and that he will hit in a specific position. Let him know what his role is with the team and let him prove he deserves it.

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First off, I think Wong deserves to be treated like Jason Heyward was by Joe Maddon this season. Heyward played every day, even though he was putting up some of the worst offensive metrics of his career. Toward the end of the year, particularly the month of September, Heyward’s bat began to look up, and it’s silly to think that his hitting would have improved if he were riding the bench. What I’m trying to imply is that Wong, though he suffered significant offensive regression, needs to play every day in order to offensively evolve and establish consistency. And, like Heyward, Wong is a great defender, and I think Wong should have a spot in the lineup just because of that.
Given the team’s collective defensive struggles that I’d rather not relive, Wong, a, in my opinion, Gold Glove-caliber defender, should probably be playing at his natural position of second base and not, literally, way out in left field. We have seen Wong really struggle with the glove at times, but that can partially be linked to his lack of stability, especially in 2016.
I think that if Wong plays every day at second base in 2017, we’ll see an improved bat and even more polished defense.
Josey Curtis
The Redbird Retreat
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Those are great points. The Heyward comparison works specifically for 2017 because the Cardinals were so painfully bad in 2016. I’m not sure any other year in the last five years yields a greater opportunity for Kolten to impact the team with his defense than the upcoming season. Like Heyward, his glove should be given the chance to change a game regardless of his bat.
And I like the specific role in the lineup talk too, Bill. I’ll say this…to extend my “Randal Grichuk” treatment a step further into your arena, I could see Kolten cemented in the lineup around seventh or eighth. Such a low spot in the order almost removes expectations of any such “role” and allows him to just swing…like Grichuk. Wong is so tied up in knots from trying to change and mold and follow a blueprint at the plate that he needs time to swing himself back into…well…himself. And that type of dynamic bat with hungry speed is exactly what the Cardinals need. Give Wong time to emerge again, then give him time to establish himself as the hitter he always was…and then, right when he’s ready to maintain his own identity at the plate regardless of role, slide him back up in the order again.
Kevin Reynolds (…again)
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Kolten Wong, oh yes. Didn’t take long to get to his status.

I would like to find a permanent spot for Matt Carpenter. With that said, Carp, Diaz and Peralta on the infield with Gyorko backing all of them up. Put Wong in a package for someone that is a real difference maker.
FYI- If and when someone has a Jhonny question I may go to a different approach to this. Depends on who gets dealt first.
Tom
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I will eagerly jump on the band wagon to keep Kolten in the starting lineup every day. I don’t think it matters whether you’re a Tony Cruz or a Matt Holliday. Any player who doesn’t receive consistent playing time is going to struggle on some level with just that: consistency. Besides, here is a kid who will bleed himself out for this team. He takes things to heart more than most players in the game today, in my opinion. And that translates to the level of intensity he exhibits on the field. As my sister and co-host, Holly, has described him in the past – this guy is a cobra ready to strike at the plate. That being said, there can be a negative flipside here for Kolten, when he puts too much pressure on his shoulders, whether it’s warranted or not. And that’s when he usually starts to slide. Those gold glove caliber plays at 2nd suddenly disappear, and he stops raking out the hits. I think this is a year, and an opportunity, for Kolten to grow. He’s no longer the baby just sent up from the farm. He’s been here long enough now to accept the responsibility of a “make or break” situation and learn how to handle the stress of that position. It may not be easy for him, but I believe he has the confidence and determination to make it work, just by sheer will power alone.

Laura, for the STLCardGals

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The problem I see with Kolten that is really where he needs to improve is that he is one of those players who carries his emotions on his sleeve.
The biggest hurdle for Kolten is that he is one of those guys that carries his emotions on his sleeve. He lives and dies with each play and each at bat. And over the course of a 162 game season, that’s difficult to do day in and day out. You get spent early on. Fans experience the same too, as I think we saw a lot of that on Twitter.
But I think that’s also the reason that Matheny is reluctant to use Wong regularly. Matheny is one of those managers who preaches grinding it out, I feel like more than most. Don’t let the successes get you too far up, and don’t let the failures get you too far down.
So for Wong, that emotion and intensity is great when things are going well and disastrous when things are going wrong. He has to figure out a way to better channel that emotion and intensity so that it doesn’t have as drastically negative effects when things go wrong.
I thought I saw better maturity in this regard from Wong in the second half last year. He deserves the commitment as the Cardinals’ regular starting baseman, but I also believe he will always be a player that needs regular off days to keep him from getting emotionally spent. He is by far the team’s best defensive option at second base. There is no reason he shouldn’t end up around 500 plate appearances next season.
I also believe that getting work in the outfield will be important for him too. When they sent him down last year, I talked about him needing to add versatility to help keep him on the roster and give him more opportunities to play because the Cardinals had about six ways to configure the infield without him.
He only needs to look at the guy he displaced from second base to see why. Matt Carpenter is one guy who realized that he needed versatility and put in the work to make it happen and added first and the corner outfield spots to stick on the big league roster and then became a second baseman. It’d been 8 years since he’d played outfield and many times it showed. But getting some practice and getting back some of those instincts would be valuable, both for him and the team.
Jon Doble
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And yes, I answered my own question, too:

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Note: I’ve not had the kind of time I’d like to spend writing about the Cardinals on a consistent basis. However, with the time that I do have, I’ve transitioned most of my Cardinals commentary into a video blog style “YouTube show.” I figured I’d continue to share them here, as well as via Twitter, etc. so that there’s some new content here at Bird Tales on a somewhat regular basis… And who knows? If I’m logging in to this page more often, I just might find that I have a few minutes to spare for the sake of the written word now and again, too!

That said, here’s the latest “Bird Seeds.” (If you missed any, feel free to catch up here.)

 

 

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Bird Seeds: Episode 10

 

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Bird Seeds, Episode 7

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Where it stops, nobody knows.

I’m not typically one to harp on lineup construction. An individual complaint here or there, sure. Twitter tends to take care of the rest, anyway. But with the recent return of Matt Carpenter to the leadoff spot, combined with the never-ending merry-go-round of placement for guys like Jason Heyward, Kolten Wong, and Randal Grichuk, I can’t help but wonder how establishing some kind of “normal” might impact the consistency of other hitters, as well.

Wong is capable of being one of the most electrifying Cardinals on the 2015 roster. He’s proven his “pop,” and shown off his range. But for a kid with so many tools, it seems Mike Matheny and company aren’t always quite clear on how to best utilize those skills.

He spent 51 games in the top spot, where he hit .249 with a .710 OPS. Thirteen of his 20 doubles, and six of 11 home runs on the year came while hitting leadoff. But, so did 39 of 67 strikeouts.

With 15 starts at the opposite end of the order, Kolten has hit .364 while slugging .473 with three doubles, a home run, and eight RBI out of the 8th spot.

And, in two of the last four games, he’s started in the spot formerly occupied by proven middle-of-the-order bats like Matt Holliday and Jhonny Peralta.

So, is Kolten Wong a table setter? A power hitter? An RBI man? A keep-the-line-moving guy?

What about a guy like Jason Heyward?

One of the major benefits to John Mozeliak bringing Heyward to St. Louis was the flexibility he provided in the lineup. His slow start at the plate contributed to some questions about how viable he might be at the heart of the order, but he’s silenced the doubter with his strong second half numbers.

He has started at least one game in eight of nine spots in the order (Matheny should go ahead and hit the pitcher 8th and Heyward 9th, just to complete the sweep!). Peralta filled the #3 spot while Holliday was out the first time, but this time around it’s been a shared mission by both Wong and Heyward.

So, has Heyward made himself a better 2-4 hitter, as opposed to the 5-7 role he’s played most of the year? And how does that, coupled with Carpenter’s return to the top of the order, impact Wong’s positioning?

Arguably the most valuable and surprising addition for the 2015 Cardinals, Randal Grichuk has found himself floating through the order, too. For 50 of his 62 starts this season, he’s hit between 5th-8th. And yet, since the All-Star break, he’s second only to Heyward in hits and on-base percentage, while leading team frame with 12 RBI and five home runs (tied with Carpenter) to go along with a 1.109 OPS.

Where does Grichuk and his undeniable power fit into a lineup that has more “all or nothing” hitters than Matheny knows what to do with? Does that power compensate for his propensity to strike out? And where is it most effectively utilized in conjunction with what Wong and Heyward have to offer?

Certainly the injuries to Holliday, Matt Adams, even Jon Jay have played their part in the musical lineups Matheny has sent out to play. But, there’s something to be said for stability, right?

Back to Matt Carpenter – much was made about the responsibility he’d allowed himself to shoulder in the absence of the team’s heavy hitters. While trying to maintain his on-base skills, he also attempted to channel the post-season version of himself, increase his power numbers, drive runs in, score runs himself, and generally become the kind of hitter both the team and the fanbase believed he ought to — and needed to — be, all while knowing his greatest success had come as one of the best leadoff hitters in the game. A .190 batting average in the month of June, and just a .224 average in July would indicate all that trying backfired.

Put him back in a defined, simplified, and consistent role, and what happened?

Screen Shot 2015-08-05 at 3.15.08 PM

Matt Carpenter, reborn.

The Cardinals have been the best team in baseball — based on record alone — almost all year. But, don’t let that fool you into thinking they’ve been the most consistent. In fact, that consistency is the very thing that’s eluded them in their quest to hold off the Pittsburgh Pirates in the NL Central. Carpenter’s consistency returned when his role became more defined, his skill set being put to its most productive use.

Could the same be true for Wong? Would giving him a more defined role simplify his approach and increase his consistency, too? Might solidifying his role do the same for Heyward and Grichuk?

Matheny has shown himself willing to try new (yet, often questionable) things with the batting order. However, with 56 games to go, he’s had more than enough time to settle on who this team can be, and how best to get them there. It’s high time to decide how to utilize Wong’s stills, and then let him find the kind of comfort that Carpenter has.

A comfortable Kolten is a dangerous Kolten. And that is precisely the guy the Cardinals need him to be down the stretch.

 

Follow Tara on Twitter: @TaraWellman

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Bird Seeds, Episode 6

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Bird Seeds, Episode 5

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Bird Seeds, Episode 4

With a week of little baseball and lots of shenanigans, the fourth installment of Bird Seeds features plenty of Carlos Martinez, twitter rants, and a Cast App question!

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Bird Seeds, Episode 3

 

If you missed the previous episodes, find them HERE.

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Happily Ever Jaime?

As the Cardinals filtered into Jupiter, FL in February, Jaime Garcia was the last name the field staff, the front office, and the fan base wanted to discuss. Sure, he was there. Yes, he was “healthy.” But no, he wouldn’t factor into the rotation in St. Louis for months yet, if at all.

This was a guy who’d shown flashes of brilliance – he had a sub-3.00 ERA in 28 starts in 2010, leading many to believe he was the post-Chris Carpenter future. Unfortunately, this was also a guy who, between elbows, shoulders, and pinched nerves, spent as much time on the disabled list as on the active roster. Tommy John surgery, rotator cuff and torn labrum surgery, thoracic outlet syndrome surgery … Garcia had become a walking billboard for Dr. Andrews and the team medical staff. (Not a resounding endorsement there, Doc. But I digress.)

break my heart 2Many who had followed the Garcia story – myself included – were, quite simply, over it by the time he reported to Spring Training. The Cardinals had Adam Wainwright, Lance Lynn, Michael Wacha, John Lackey, Carlos Martinez, and Marco Gonzales vying for the five rotation spots. Garcia and his $9.2 million contract was essentially dead weight.

Then, he started to pitch. The narrative began to change. The “He’s going to need time to get back to where he was, and we’ll take it very slow to ensure his continued health” company line was thwarted by just how ready Garcia looked. Sure, 9.1 innings of spring ball isn’t enough to supplant one of the expected starting five, but it was more than enough to remember just how torturous the love/hate relationship with Garcia can be.

Look, there’s not question that when Jaime is healthy, he’s one of the most impressive lefties in the game. He’d give the righty-heavy Cardinals rotation a different look. And when Wainwright went down (and Gonzales, too, was injured), he became the “next man up” upon whom very few were ready to depend.

But, there he was. On May 21, 2015 – more than a year removed from his last Major League appearance – he became the guy tasked with taking the place of the Cardinal ace.

Bets were placed, jokes were made, expectations were tempered. This couldn’t go well. This guy had broken himself, and our hearts too many times already. No one would fall for his tricks again.

Seven starts later, and … well … I’m falling. Hard. And I’m not the only one.

If his 1.69 ERA or his 0.88 WHIP isn’t enticing enough, perhaps his well-below MLB average 1.31 BB/9, 3.02 FIP, or .237 BABIP can sway you. In 48.0 innings, Garcia has walked 7 (five of which came in his season debut) and struck out 32. While his W-L record isn’t earth-shattering (3-3 after earning the victory Wednesday in Miami), that’s a silly stat anyway. Not silly, though, is that Garcia has seven quality starts in seven games.

While those numbers are remarkable MLB-wide, perhaps his most valuable quality for the Cardinals’ sake is that he’s consistently pitched deep into games. Expecting fill-in starters and rookies to cover 200+ Adam Wainwright innings is a big ask, to say the least. Garcia averaging seven strong every five days not only strengthens the rotation, but it also solidifies the structure and integrity of the bullpen.

It reads like a plot line made for Hollywood: Former top prospect, cast aside by almost everyone after injuries threatened to take away his Big League dream, returns to St. Louis in the nick of time, as other injuries cast doubt on the 2015 Cardinals’ season. Once a stud with limitless potential, Garcia tries to reclaim his former glory and win back the hearts of the fans who desperately want him to succeed. Will his unpredictable health derail him yet again? Or will they all live Happily Ever Jaime?  

To Be Continued…

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Follow Tara on Twitter: @TaraWellman

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As the St. Louis roster rounded into form early this spring, General Manager John Mozeliak used a word to describe his 2015 Cardinals squad:

Fragile.

It haunted me then, and continues to haunt me now.

Staff ace? Gone for the year. Recently acquired setup man? Out with an unpredictable arm injury. Both the 3 and 4 hitters? See ya. And that’s not even all of it.

Need a visual? It isn’t pretty, but here it is.

 

Screen Shot 2015-06-10 at 3.50.42 PM

 

 

Fragile, indeed.

Now, I know Lance Lynn is merely getting additional evaluation and isn’t even officially going to miss a start. But “forearm tightness” doesn’t generally end with sunshine and rainbows. So, even if he ends up pitching the rest of the season, it’s just one more reminder that this team seems to be on a constant tipping point, teetering between prosperity and poverty.

And yet, the Cardinals remain the best team in baseball.

Marco Gonzales hasn’t been rushed, because the Major League rotation has been solid. The loss of Adam Wainwright was more or less absorbed by a surprisingly dominant Jaime Garcia (who is fragile enough in his own right). While Jordan Walden makes slow progress toward a return, Kevin Siegrist and Matt Belisle have held down the 8th inning fort. While Jon Jay was down for the count, Randal Grichuk and Peter Bourjos proved their worth. Though Matt Adams was undoubtedly struggling to get going this season, there were questions about Mark Reynolds as a suitable every day replacement. So far, so good.

Former Cardinal Rick Ankiel called it “fairy dust.” I’ll call it whatever you’d like if the Birds can keep winning in spite of the unpleasant game of musical injuries.

Although Mozeliak’s “next man up” philosophy has worked to near perfection thus far, losing Matt Holliday for even just four weeks seemed to be the kind of straw that could break the camel’s back (or the birds’ wings, as it were…). And then, the Lynn news broke.

So, what’s a team to do when they’ve been the best, but their best are dropping like flies? What does it mean when these Birds take 3 of 4 on the road in LA, only to drop 2 of 3 to the Rockies? It’s not going to get easier, that’s for sure, as they head toward a week of games against two teams surpassing even their own expectations this season in the Royals and the Twins.

How long can a pitching staff that has been one of baseball’s best bear the weight of a struggling offense? How much will additional exposure hurt the success of players like Grichuk and Reynolds? Does Memphis have enough resources to buy Mozeliak either time or a solution?

The way I see it, the Cards can either fold or fight… And I think you and I both know what choice they’ll make. The beauty and the bane of a 162-game season is that nothing is ever guaranteed. Rarely does anything go according to plan. Somehow, though, I expect the Cardinals to find a way. It may not be pretty. It may not be simple. And hey, it may not work at all. But with 100+ games still to go, there are plenty of surprises — hopefully some of the pleasant variety! — yet to come.

Hang in there, Cardinal Nation.

Get well Cardinals.

Go Birds.

 

 

Follow Tara on Twitter: @TaraWellman

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ps4-hackWhat a week, huh?

If I don’t write about it, I can pretend it’s not happening … right?

A girl can dream.

This week, though, has been more like a nightmare for the St. Louis Cardinals and their oft-mocked fan base. Only this time, the jabs are warranted. Maybe. But, then again, maybe not so warranted as we first thought.

Initially, I just wanted to wait it out. Let the investigators do their jobs, allow the truth to prevail, and respond accordingly. You know, with facts. The report caught the baseball world — and a whole lot of local TV stations — off guard, and I wanted to hear what those really in the know had to say.

What kind of dream world was I living in? That’s not how things work around here. People want to know. Writers want to report. Surely, somebody’s voice needs to be heard. It seems, though, that the more voices that are heard, the more questions are created.

And I’m not talking about questions like “Why the Astros, of all teams?!” or “Is this how the Cardinals have won all those pennants?!” I mean real questions like, “What happens next?” and “Which source should I actually believe?”

On Tuesday, when the story broke, the primary sources in Michael Schmidt’s New York Times story were “law enforcement officials” and “investigators.” These people, one would assume, would be well enough informed regarding the case details to speak to them with accuracy. Schmidt’s report credits these officials with the theories regarding “vengeful front-office employees,” potential stolen “proprietary baseball information,” and those pesky “master passwords” that allowed simplistic hacks to provide access into the Astros’ database system — one that mirrored the Cardinals’ own version, with which Jeff Luhnow was uniquely familiar.

As news outlets scurried to the story like mosquitos to a bright light, these nameless “federal sources” and “F.B.I agents” seemed to confirm these theories, adding details such as the apparent location of the computer used to breech Houston’s system (Jupiter, FL).

Then the individuals involved began to speak.

The Cardinals’ John Mozeliak and Bill DeWitt, along with their legal counsel Mike Whittle spoke to USA Today’s Bob Nightingale, and attempted to fill in the few details they were at liberty to discuss: They’re taking this seriously, they understand the negative reflection on the organization, they’re fully cooperating with investigators, neither Mozeliak nor DeWitt have been directly implicated by F.B.I officials, but specific — and yet unidentified — individuals are under scrutiny and will be held accountable.

(Pretty “vanilla” statements, if you ask me, but I digress…)

To top that, Jeff Luhnow broke his silence in an interview with Ben Reiter for Sports Illustrated. This is where it gets juicy.

Luhnow claims, contrary to the reported theories of “law enforcement officials familiar with the case,” that there was no animosity between former colleagues, he has fully complied with the intellectual property agreements he signed, and that he would never have been foolish enough to reuse old password.

(Aside: according to Derrick Goold’s report, there was, in fact, some friction regarding Luhnow. But, to speculate that “frustration” turned into motive is perhaps an unfair reach without additional — but unavailable — information.)

Hmmm.

So, whose intel is most accurate? Who is to be believed? Why is the version of the story from the quoted F.B.I. sources so different from that of team sources? What important facts have been left out that are keeping the story from making sense? And frankly, how much should any officials have said at all until the investigation is complete?

It’s a good headline. But without additional facts (not theories), it’s a story that deteriorates to a battle of he said/they said with no way to resolve it. It’s simply an ongoing investigation, which doesn’t make for a very good story.

Someone got to be first. Someone else got to claim the exclusive. And somehow, we’re no closer to learning what happened, who knew about it, and what will the penalty be.

Huh. Looks like we’ll have to wait for the legal process to play out, after all.

 

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